I've been using the term 'low inventory' on a daily basis since 2019 and there are three questions I answer on a regular basis:
How low is the inventory?
A WSJ article this past weekend estimated the housing shortages to be between 7.3 million units short and 1.7 million short.
The estimates were as follows:
National low income housing coalition: 7.3 million
Fannie Mae: 4.4 million
Up for Growth: 3.8 million
John burns Research and Consulting: 1.7 million
The reality is probably somewhere in the middle of those numbers. To put the current housing inventory in perspective, in 2007 our national inventory spiked to 4 million active units. Currently we have less than 1 million active listings.
Why is the inventory so low?
It's been the perfect storm:
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The pandemic spurred migration from neighboring states
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Low mortgage interest rates
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After the 2008 financial crisis builders slowed their pace of building
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Homeowners now stay in their homes longer:
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the national average used to be 5-7 years, now it's 11-13+ years
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for those who have paid off their homes and/or locked in low interest rates, it's cheaper to stay in their current home
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Many renters have been driven to purchase homes so they could stabilize their housing budget
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Home sale contingencies are a nonstarter in this market. Some potential sellers who need the equity out of their current home to purchase their next home are at a standstill.
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Corporate investors have been buying single family homes and turning them into rentals
What strategies can you use to get a home in this market?
The past 4 years have been challenging for home buyers in the Greater Philadelphia area. As home inventory decreases, competitive offers increase. Below is a list of strategic options I review with my clients before we start looking at homes:
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- Offering cash is typically more desirable to a seller than receiving an offer with a mortgage contingency
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Consider offering a free leaseback to the seller as needed
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Consider offering to pay both sides of the transfer tax
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Consider offering to pay for the township Use and Occupancy inspection repairs (if applicable)
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Work with a realtor who can help you search for off-market properties
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Revisit your wishlist, be flexible with some of your search criteria
Current Homeowners: If you need the funds out of your current home to purchase your next home:
Please reach out if you have real estate questions. For over 12 years I've helped sellers and buyers negotiate real estate in the Greater Philadelphia area, including Montgomery, Bucks, Chester, Delaware, and Berks counties. Having lived in 4 of the local counties, I am skilled in helping my clients navigate their options.
Melissa Walter
REALTOR®
Certified Residential Specialist (CRS)
Accredited Buyer's Representative (ABR)
Short Sale and Foreclosure Resource Certified (SFR)
Compass RE
4 E Montgomery Ave
Ardmore PA, 19003
o: 610.822.3356
m: 484.459.6966
[email protected]